The NEXT WAVE of Indonesians

Posted on October 13th, 2010 at 12:06 pm by Akhyari


When a tiny country like Brunei Darussalam or Luxemburg got wealthier, the impact wasnt felt by farmers in Vietnam or a carpenter in Russia. But when a big country like Indonesia with huge a population got richer, the impact can be seen across the globe. Indonesia, is on the very way to reach Gross Domestic Product (GDP) percapita of US$ 3,000, and it will display a new economic wave that raises the rise of middle-class economy.

In 2002, China set a target of reaching GDP percapita of US$ 3,000 in 2020. In 2008, the target was brought forward to 2010. In fact, it turns out to be in 2009 when China’s GDP percapita had exceeded US$3,000.

The rise of middle-class economy will bring new wave of demands.  Household products such as televisions, refrigerators, washing machines, air conditioners, cars, motorcycles and others will experience a fantastic jump.

Indonesia, however, never set such target, even the world believes that the Indonesian economy per capita is set to exceed US$ 3,000 this year.

Then, when will Indonesia’s GDP percapita reach US$ 3000 level? Nominal GDP in the first half of 2010 was recorded Rp 3.068 trillion or US$ 336 billion (converted at the exchange rate US$ 1 = Rp 9120). Well, referring to the annual pattern of Indonesia’s GDP, estimate at Q2 in 2010 will be obtained by GDP per capita of Rp 3350 billion, equivalent to US$ 372 billion (assuming exchange rate of U.S. $ 1 = Rp 9000). This means that in 2010,GDP will reach US$ 708 billion. With a population of 235 million , the GDP per capita of Indonesia is likely to exceed U.S. $ 3,000 in 2010.

It is no longer important when and how we’re gonna achieve that point, the process to lead to it and after that is more important. In the 1st half of  2011, GDP per capita is very likely to be at the level of U.S. $ 3,300. With such income, the purchasing power of Indonesians would be soaring. People will start buying things, including new cars, homes, etc. FYI, goverment predicts that the car sale will reach a new record high of 800,000 units!!! This is a clear sign of the NEXT WAVE society.

Credit: SWA Magazine

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